20Forty’s Newsletter

20Forty’s Newsletter

Dynamics at Play: How to Leverage Determinants

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Deborah Patton's avatar
Kevin Novak and Deborah Patton
Aug 15, 2024
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Issue 173, August 15, 2024

Last week we wrote on trends, cycles and determinants, giving a new twist on understanding the process of change and transformation. To quickly review, determinants are the underlying elements that shape cycles and ultimately determine outcomes (positive, negative or neutral). As we navigate an increasingly complex and rapidly changing world, the ability to distinguish between trends, shifts, and determinants shaping our environment becomes ever more crucial. Also important is understanding when determinants started in the cycle as they may have been playing a role for longer than we can imagine. Further, identifying the determinants across cycles is critical for effectively leading an organization forward. One of the key challenges leaders face is recognizing if they’re on the cusp of a trend, at the end of a cycle, or just experiencing a one-off shift. Needless to say, this distinction is critical because it informs everything from strategic decision-making…

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