20Forty’s Newsletter

20Forty’s Newsletter

How to Navigate the Currents of Change: Trends, Shifts and Cycles

Kevin Novak's avatar
Deborah Patton's avatar
Kevin Novak and Deborah Patton
Aug 08, 2024
∙ Paid

Issue 172, August 8, 2024

In our rapidly evolving marketplace, distinguishing between fleeting changes and significant trends is crucial for organizational success. At 2040 Digital, we’ve long emphasized the importance of contextual intelligence and systems thinking in navigating change and transformation. As we wrote in “The Truth About Transformation,” understanding often conflicting dynamics at play is essential for leaders to steer their organizations through disruptive times. We’re going to tackle a twist on those dynamics by diving into a less talked-about aspect of change and transformation: determinants.

Cycles and Determinants

To effectively manage change, we must understand the interplay between cycles and determinants. A cycle, as we define it, is an interval of time that is a sequence of a recurring succession of events or phenomena. Cycles are the natural rhythms of business and society that we can often predict and prepare for. They represent social, economic, political, re…

User's avatar

Continue reading this post for free, courtesy of Kevin Novak.

Or purchase a paid subscription.
© 2026 Kevin Novak · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture